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PAK vs SL (Feb 28, 2026) Super 8 Match: Pakistan Qualification Scenarios, Probable Playing XIs, and Winner Prediction

The Super 8 match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 between Pakistan and Sri Lanka will take place at the Pallekele International Cricket Stadium, Pallekele. A big win is crucial for Pakistan to secure a spot in the semi-finals, as a defeat or narrow win could lead to their elimination. In that case, New Zealand will advance as the second team from Group 2, joining already qualified England.

The 50th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 will start at 7:00 PM IST. For viewers in Pakistan, the match will begin at 6:30 PM PKT. Sri Lanka, who have not won a single game in the Super 8 stage of this tournament so far, will aim to play for pride in their final Super 8 clash.

PAK vs SL Super 8 Match ICC T20 World Cup 2026 Captains face off

Pakistan’s Semi-Final Qualification Scenarios for the PAK vs SL Super 8 Match

Here are the semi-final qualification scenarios for Pakistan in the Super 8 match against Sri Lanka on February 28, 2026:

  • Scenario 1: Pakistan must win by at least 65 runs or more against Sri Lanka.
  • Scenario 2: Pakistan must chase the target within 13 overs or fewer.

What If the PAK vs SL Super 8 Match Is Abandoned Due to Rain?

If the match is abandoned due to rain, New Zealand will qualify for the semi-finals from Group 2 with 3 points, while Pakistan will remain on 2 points and be eliminated from the tournament.

Expected Playing XIs for Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

Pakistan (Probable XI): Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Salman Agha (c), Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Usman Khan (wk), Mohammad Nawaz, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmed, Salman Mirza, Usman Tariq

Sri Lanka (Probable XI): Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis (wk), Charith Asalanka, Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka (c), Dunith Wellalage, Dushan Hemantha, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Dilshan Madushanka

PAK vs SL Match Winner Predictions and Odds

Based on the recent form and overall squad strength, here are the winning odds for Pakistan and Sri Lanka in this 50th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026:

  • Pakistan’s chances of winning: 70%
  • Sri Lanka’s chances of winning: 30%

Pakistan holds a clear advantage and is expected to dominate the Sri Lankan side, especially with their strong spin attack. Abrar Ahmed’s inclusion adds more depth to Pakistan’s bowling line-up and could trouble Sri Lanka’s batters. There is a good chance Pakistan might restrict Sri Lanka to a low total of below 100 if the latter bats first.

For Sri Lanka, Pathum Nissanka remains their key player and the team’s biggest hope. If he manages to bat for at least 12 overs, Sri Lanka could shift the momentum in their favour.

  • Final Prediction: Pakistan is likely to win this Super 8 match against Sri Lanka.

Keep following for more updates on the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 Super 8 stage. For any questions regarding this clash, feel free to drop a comment below.

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